QAnon predictions are controversial. (Who is QAnon?) Can Q predict the future? If Q has made false predictions, does that mean Q’s fake?

When Q predicts that something will happen, Q’s supporters watch closely for signs of the prediction’s fulfillment, and often explain false predictions as military deception strategy, human error, or inability to complete missions according to plan.

Q’s opponents often point out Q’s false predictions as evidence that Q is a fake.

QAnon History

Are Q's Predictions a Reliable Way to Determine Whether Q is Trustworthy?

No, because Q could be authentic and make false predictions for various reasons, and because Q could be a fraud and make true or correct predictions for various reasons.

Moreover, the predictions Q makes are just a small part of what they post, and certainly not the primary part of Q’s central thesis or message.

I don’t expect this analysis alone to convince anyone to change their mind about Q; my hope is that it aids in your Q research, and that as you consider the full body of Q’s posts, the vast majority of which are not predictive in nature, you’ll be able to make up your own mind.

Q Predictions: Every Prediction Q Has Ever Made

Every Q prediction ever made: let’s see what we can learn.

Ground rules for this analysis:

  • Must be specific enough to test. “Their need for symbolism will be their downfall” is an oft-repeated phrase by Q that functions as a general prediction related to the elite cabal(s) that hold great power in the world, but it’s not really a prediction that can be tested for true/false, unless you really go deep into an analysis of what symbolism comprises, what a downfall would mean, etc. and form assumptions about those meanings that can then be tested. So we’ll leave phrases like the one above out of this study.
  • Must be objective. “2018 will be GLORIOUS!” (Q434) A Q supporter may say this came true; a detractor may say it didn’t; and both will come up with reasons why. But it’s subjective unless Q offers additional assertions tied to the initial subjective prediction, to make it objective enough to evaluate clearly.
  • Must involve elements beyond Q’s control. In Q473, Q says, “There will be no further posts on this board under this ID.” It is a specific, objective prediction, but it’s also no more impressive that it came true than if a person holding their own toothbrush says, “I’m going to brush my teeth now,” and proceeds to do so.
  • Must be a statement, not a question. “When will the public discover that Ted Cruz was also illegally SURV (pre_POTUS_R nomination)?” (Q2657) This isn’t worded as a prediction, but rather as a question; even though it can reasonably be interpreted as an implied prediction, I’d rather stick to explicit statements of prediction for this Q prediction study.

I want to recognize the valuable work that the Reddit “Qult Headquarters” community does in pointing out bad logic and showing that some Q supporters really don’t understand what Q has said. They’re strongly anti-Q, and I like to read a lot of the posts there to give me a more balanced perspective on Q. They highlighted this article recently and pointed out some things that could be improved, for which I am sincerely grateful. “Think for yourself,” which Q has often said, is a wonderful principle that is more easily achieved when you consider opposing arguments.

QAnon Predictions

A list of every prediction made by QAnon since they began posting in October 2017, with dates and commentary.
QAnon Post
QAnon Post DateQAnon Prediction TextMy QAnon researcher opinion
110/28/2017"Expect massive riots organized in defiance and others fleeing the US to occur. US M’s will conduct the operation while NG activated."Possibly intentional disinformation (disinfo) to draw attention and create fog of war. See Q88, Q128 - Q appeared to claim later that many of their early predictions from October and early November 2017 were really about Saudi Arabia, but written to sound like they were about US-related events and people.
210/28/2017"POTUS will not go on tv to address nation."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
410/28/2017"POTUS will not be addressing nation on any of these issues as people begin to be indicted and must remain neutral for pure optical reasons."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
810/29/2017"Why are Senate Republicans dropping out? Not by choice and were offered a choice (rest assured they will vote pro Trump)."Needs to be cross referenced.
1510/31/2017"11.3 - Podesta indicted
11.6 - Huma indicted "
See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
3411/1/2017"we have initiated certain fail-safes that shall safeguard the public from the primary fallout which is slated to occur 11.3 upon the arrest announcement of Mr. Podesta (actionable 11.4)."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
3411/1/2017"On POTUS’ order, a state of temporary military control will be actioned and special ops carried out."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
3411/1/2017"the atmosphere within the country will unfortunately be divided"See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
3411/1/2017"We will be initiating the Emergency Broadcast System (EMS) during this time"See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
3511/1/2017"POTUS will be well insulated/protected on AF1 and abroad (specific locations classified) while these operations are conducted due to the nature of the entrenchment."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
3511/1/2017"The spill over in the streets will be quickly shut down."
See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
3811/2/2017"Note NG deployments starting tomorrow."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
4311/2/2017"Watch for confirmations tomorrow."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
4411/2/2017"Before POTUS departs on Friday he will be sending an important message via Twitter. God bless."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
4711/2/2017"Be vigilant today and expect a major false flag."See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
5511/2/2017"Look to Twitter:
Exactly this: "My fellow Americans, the Storm is upon us......."
God bless."
Has not happened.
6711/3/2017"Podesta's plane has military escort (i.e. tag) and is being diverted (forced down).
Short delay.
This will be leaked."
See Q88, Q128 (Saudi Arabia)
9511/5/2017"What happened in SA will happen here, Asia, and EU."USA mass resignations/replacements, NK peace progress, Brexit
9611/5/2017"Time stamps will help you validate authenticity."See QAnon Deltas
41412/21/2017"POTUS will verify directly to provide crumb auth for dissemination."Will add notes later.
6361/27/2018"Carefully crafted 'out there' statements w/ falsified/fake Mueller drops will be made that nobody else would dare say/suggest."
Will add notes later.
10434/6/2018"Pics will surface of Hussein holding AK47 in tribal attire."Appears to refer to Barack Hussein Obama, 44th US president. Has not happened yet.
12414/23/2018"The U.S. will NOT agree to continue the Iran deal as it currently stands."AFAIK, this came true. Unsure how unusual such a prediction would have been seen at the time, but I think it was common knowledge that the Trump admin had no plans to continue the US Iran deal then in place.
13325/10/2018"The information that will become public will further demonstrate the criminal & corrupt [pure evil] abuse of power that the Hussein administration undertook in joint efforts w/ domestic and foreign dignitaries."Whether or not this has convincingly occurred depends on your definition of "demonstrate."
14536/11/2018"There will be many redactions."Appears to refer to the IG report released on 6/14/2018, which did indeed include many redactions. This wasn't at all shocking, but it merits mention anyway because the prediction fits our established criteria (despite the sentence's vagueness, it immediately follows a link to a post commenting about the 2018 IG report).
14706/12/2018"When the info is released no more Russia investigation.
It will factually conclude the corrupt nature by which the entire false narrative was created all to 1) prevent the election of POTUS 2) delay/shelter/mask/hide all illegal activities by Hussein/others during past 8 years."
See notes on Q1332 above. Depends on how you define "factually conclude."
16266/28/2018"Putin / U1 will come out post summit (they will try to apply artificial MSM heat to cancel)."This pair of predictions is barely specific enough to include on this list, I think, but I'll return to it later when I've had time to study it in more detail.
16506/30/2018"It will not be Gowdy."Given the context of the QAnon post, this prediction appears to be saying that Trump's upcoming Supreme Court pick would not be Trey Gowdy. As mentioned above with other predictions - whether or not you find it impressive, it did come true, so we have to note that here in order to be thorough.
16647/1/2018"There will be no civil war."Refers to NK. As of 2020, I don't know of any NK civil war since this statement was made by Q.
I need to study this one more. Will leave it as "hasn't happened yet" for now.
22739/23/2018"POTUS will not be BAITED TO FIRE when the release itself will FORCE RESIGNATION/TERMINATION [RR]."Need to study more - leaving here because I think it passes the criteria to be evaluated.
245511/7/2018"There will be no recusal."Based on context, this appears to refer to acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker. Will return later to add more notes.
251211/30/2018"Mueller will face charges re: U1"Will return to add notes.
263512/20/2018"The [D] party will cease to exist once it's all exposed."Will return to add notes.
263812/20/2018"History will not repeat itself this time."Appears to refer to Syria; will return to add more notes.
28032/18/2019"Indictments, arrests, and DECLAS will force WW coverage.
Leaks, bribery, collusion re: media will force resignations w/ follow up criminal prosecution."
Will return to add notes.
28162/19/2019"The DECLASSIFICATION of all requested documents (+ more) will occur."Will return to add notes.
28392/20/2019"Mueller must deliver report to DOJ prior to OIG releasing next installment.
You will understand why in the coming weeks."
Will return to add notes.
29383/3/2019"What other 'anchors' were provided to FISC in order to gain the warrant? [DECLAS will show]."Will return to add notes.
371612/17/2019"First indictment [unseal] will trigger mass pop awakening."Will return to add notes. I think most would agree this has not happened yet.
37881/23/2020"Correction will be needed: ALL SURV re: POTUS [hops] will be concluded that there was “insufficient predication to establish probable cause.""Will return to add notes.
39324/10/2020"The media will attempt to spin as a partisan attack."Re: public disclosure of the corruption behind the Steele dossier that was used as justification for a FISA warrant to spy on Trump (via spying on Carter Page) on 2016.
39324/10/2020"The House will push for Barr removal."
39324/10/2020"The House will open investigations into Barr-Durham [lack of confidence]."
39574/14/2020"All assets will be deployed this election."
39574/14/2020"Sleepers [Pro] will shift position [Nay]."
39624/14/2020"All assets will be deployed this election."
39744/16/2020"It will be your choice whether to know."
40124/30/2020"When this is finished a much bigger graphic will be needed."
40264/30/2020"Justice will be served."Refers to Jim Comey.
42945/20/2020"Fear [vote-by-mail] and obey [stay inside or face death or arrest] tactics push will end +1 [election day]."
43816/1/2020"Translation: MSDNC will incite and push division unless [D] control established."
44416/9/2020"The wait will soon be over."Refers to Bill Barr's comments about how the wheels of justice grinding slowly doesn't mean people won't be held accountable.

Are Some Q Predictions "Disinformation?" Or is That an Excuse for Bad Guessing?

Q explains in post #88 (11/5/2017):

SA –> US –> Asia –> EU
Disinformation is real.
Distractions are necessary.
Focus was US today while real happening in SA under same context (military control, martial law, missile strike (rogue) etc).
POTUS‘ Twitter attack (see above).
Why is this relevant?
What was the last Tweet by POTUS prior to SA?
Why is this relevant?
SA (1), US (2), Asia (3), EU (4).
Where is POTUS?
Why is this relevant?
Military operations.”

Another related post, Q128:

“Disinformation is real.
Disinformation is necessary.
Ex: US ML NG (1) False SA True
Why was this necessary?
What questions were asked re: SA prior to SA events?”

For several days, Q had been posting various predictions about martial law enactment and other events in the United States, but here appeared to explain that they had been speaking about Saudi Arabia all along.

Naturally, the skeptical response would be that Q simply was “retconning,” or applying a retroactive continuity to their message. I see the danger in cold reading and apophenia, in “wishing Q true.” Feelings can’t change facts.

What do you think? Does Q have foreknowledge of certain events (see Q coronavirus information, Q impeachment discussion), or access to insider information about rich and powerful people in and out of politics? (And how often does Q post immediately before Trump?)

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